Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046997 0.051117 0.055291 0.059830 0.064619 0.069515 0.074891
2024-10-20 0.039578 0.045562 0.051852 0.058930 0.066646 0.074778 0.083967
2024-10-27 0.034951 0.042352 0.050393 0.059713 0.070157 0.081437 0.094481
2024-11-03 0.030444 0.038768 0.048097 0.059213 0.071980 0.086076 0.102702
2024-11-10 0.027182 0.036245 0.046699 0.059462 0.074443 0.091295 0.111507
2024-11-17 0.024761 0.034455 0.045931 0.060254 0.077386 0.096970 0.120793
2024-11-24 0.023793 0.034305 0.047020 0.063171 0.082783 0.105485 0.133406
2024-12-01 0.020683 0.031208 0.044288 0.061270 0.082272 0.106954 0.137708
2024-12-08 0.018562 0.029203 0.042758 0.060701 0.083248 0.110095 0.143918
2024-12-15 0.016802 0.027530 0.041522 0.060387 0.084447 0.113439 0.150332
2024-12-22 0.016197 0.027377 0.042223 0.062514 0.088675 0.120475 0.161235
2024-12-29 0.015256 0.026675 0.042133 0.063568 0.091524 0.125814 0.170096
2025-01-05 0.014257 0.025851 0.041871 0.064425 0.094189 0.131035 0.178982
2025-01-12 0.012778 0.024212 0.040402 0.063603 0.094645 0.133484 0.184462
2025-01-19 0.011977 0.023535 0.040230 0.064498 0.097322 0.138734 0.193457
2025-01-26 0.010834 0.022233 0.039092 0.064007 0.098129 0.141587 0.199449
2025-02-02 0.010013 0.021378 0.038545 0.064291 0.099935 0.145706 0.207047
2025-02-09 0.009415 0.020836 0.038421 0.065137 0.102479 0.150771 0.215857
2025-02-16 0.009431 0.021329 0.039856 0.068220 0.108087 0.159859 0.229862
2025-02-23 0.008208 0.019587 0.037807 0.066219 0.106688 0.159761 0.232079
2025-03-02 0.007418 0.018537 0.036762 0.065619 0.107175 0.162108 0.237425
2025-03-09 0.006754 0.017653 0.035929 0.065290 0.108004 0.164888 0.243329
2025-03-16 0.006660 0.017839 0.036814 0.067533 0.112466 0.172537 0.255620